Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.283222 1.549304 1.878939 2.325464 2.927688 3.732059 4.924812e+00
2025-01-19 0.902860 1.198246 1.617615 2.285821 3.386590 5.264346 9.091694e+00
2025-01-26 0.753342 1.070159 1.567990 2.471232 4.243433 8.084985 1.938978e+01
2025-02-02 0.648780 0.968422 1.510339 2.600141 5.082863 11.844059 4.216792e+01
2025-02-09 0.558190 0.862843 1.408413 2.593918 5.637954 15.782203 8.770726e+01
2025-02-16 0.483057 0.766110 1.294111 2.511971 5.957255 19.681687 1.810695e+02
2025-02-23 0.438116 0.713548 1.249827 2.569241 6.735535 27.456195 5.988974e+02
2025-03-02 0.406294 0.678851 1.232189 2.684894 7.838936 41.178562 5.231952e+03
2025-03-09 0.372581 0.634617 1.183818 2.700901 8.624861 57.475945 2.254324e+06
2025-03-16 0.336536 0.580428 1.102389 2.594108 8.819807 70.645069 NaN
2025-03-23 0.318715 0.560485 1.095151 2.708829 10.235229 116.314220 NaN
2025-03-30 0.298500 0.532710 1.063792 2.736456 11.281216 179.485790 NaN
2025-04-06 0.274640 0.494967 1.003056 2.650666 11.628563 243.333248 NaN
2025-04-13 0.255093 0.464465 0.955894 2.599673 12.213588 360.436758 NaN
2025-04-20 0.248532 0.461537 0.978984 2.819942 15.305183 1150.649046 NaN
2025-04-27 0.239667 0.452251 0.983437 2.974040 18.393395 5098.670544 NaN
2025-05-04 0.226392 0.431293 0.952023 2.966552 19.966100 22499.059375 NaN
2025-05-11 0.211786 0.405780 0.903844 2.868450 20.364627 102855.747536 NaN
2025-05-18 0.203265 0.393772 0.892651 2.936983 23.258746 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.197163 0.386868 0.895279 3.075683 27.976099 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.188638 0.373215 0.875382 3.094911 31.021714 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.177564 0.352346 0.830440 2.966772 30.837277 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.173018 0.347269 0.834014 3.104437 37.458058 NaN NaN